Ontario election: Polls suggest tight race with just days left in campaign – Toronto

TORONTO – The Ontario Liberal party has a slight lead in the polls with just days to go before the 2014 Ontario election.

An aggregation of polls done by the Laurier Institute for the Study of Public Opinion and Policy suggests the Liberals could pick up 48 seats, the Progressive Conservatives 41 and the NDP 18.

That would mean results almost identical to 2011’s, with a minority Liberal government and no party losing or gaining more than five seats.

The projected seat distribution as of June 9. Data from Lispop桑拿按摩

Annu Gulati / Global News

But when it comes to the popular vote it’s a tight race. The Liberals have a two-point lead in popular vote, one point less than a previous aggregation released on June 5.

Barry Kay, a professor at Wilfrid Laurier University used polls from May 28 to June 6 and a sample of roughly 5,000 respondents to formulate the results.

Seat projection, June 9 »

Seat projection, June 9

Seat projection, June 9 »

Seat projection, June 9

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